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    Floods are second only to fire as the most common of all natural disasters.They occur almost everywhere in the world,resulting in widespread damage and even death.Consequently,scientists have long tried to perfect their ability to predict floods.So far,the best that scientists can do is to recognize the potential for flooding in certain conditions. There are a number of conditions,from deep snow on the ground to human error,which cause flooding.

    When deep snow melts it creates a large amount of water.Although deep snow alone rarely causes floods,when it occurs together with heavy rain and sudden warmer weather it can lead to serious flooding.If there is a fast snow melt on top of frozen or very wet ground,flooding is more likely to occur than when the ground is not frozen.Frozen ground or ground that is very wet cannot absorb the additional water created by the melting snow.Melting snow also contributes to high water levels in rivers and streams.

    Rivers that are covered in ice can also lead to flooding.When ice begins to melt,the surface of the ice cracks and breaks into large pieces.These pieces of ice move and float down the river,They can form a dam in the river,causing the water behind the dam to rise and flood the land upstream.If the dam breaks suddenly,then the large amount of water held behind the dam can flood the areas downstream too.

    Broken ice dams are not the only dam problems that can cause flooding.When a large human-made dam breaks or fails to hold the water collected behind it,the results can be devastating.Dams contain such huge amounts of water behind them that when sudden breaks occur,the great force of the water is like a great tidal wave.The dam waters can travel tens of kilometres,cover the ground in metres of mud and litter,and drown and crush every thing and creature in their path.

    Although scientists cannot always predict exactly when floods will occur,they do know a great deal about when floods are probably going to occur.Deep snow,ice-covered rivers,and weak dams are all strong conditions for potential flooding.

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阅读下列材料,回答问题。

19世纪70年代,英国探险家斯坦利率一支考察队在非洲考察,与当地土著相遇。对此事件,斯坦利和当地土著酋长摩基姆巴分别有自己的叙述。

材料1: 斯坦利的叙述

早8点左右,我们看到一个市场,附近停泊着许多独木舟。人们立即集合起来,从四面八方向我们逼近。我们长时间保持自制。但最后他们因我们的镇静而鼓起勇气,当某个人因此高叫“穆提”(投)、他们一齐向我们投掷木矛时,我们才被迫开枪,对他们予以回击,迫使他们惊惶逃窜……下午2点,我们从两岸树木茂密的河道中驶出……看到一支庞大的船队正停在河中央。那些船民发现我们后站起来,高声喊叫,把他们的号角吹得异常响……在5分钟里,我们全力射击,无暇顾及别的事。但最后我们意识到敌人正在距我们约200码的地方重新组织力量。我们热血沸腾。这简直是杀戮的世界,我们第一次感到我们憎恶居住在这里的这些丑陋不堪的食尸鬼们。

材料2:摩基姆巴的叙述

当我们听说那个白皮肤的人(指斯坦利)要来的时候,我们不禁惊奇地张开了嘴巴……我们对自己说,这人的皮肤是白色的,一定是从河流王国来的,他是我们在水中淹死的弟兄们中的一个。一切生命都来自水中,在水中他又找到了自己的生命。现在他要回到我们中间来,他要回家了。我们要举行一个宴会,我下令将去迎接我们的兄弟并陪伴他高高兴兴返回村庄……但是我们靠近他的小舟时,听到喊声:“土匪!土匪!”火杖向我们喷射铁雨,我们一时惊呆了……那天晚上我们回来时看到了可怕的东西:我们的弟兄死在血泊中,我们村遭到洗劫后被焚烧,水中飘满了死尸。那些强盗和杀人凶手消失了。现在请告诉我,那白人对我们公平吗?