2015年，某国宏观经济形势如下：产能利用率不足；固定资产投资同比下降4.0%；居民消费价格指数（CPI）增幅从2.5%下跌至1%，低于国际公认的合理值3%。据此，预防通货紧缩成为关注的焦点。若不考虑其他因素，可能引发通货紧缩的传导路径是（  ）

①产能过剩→工业品供过于求→工业品价格走低→企业利润下滑

②消费低迷→消费品供过于求→消费品价格走低

③社会总供给大于社会总需求→物价总水平持续下跌

④企业投资萎缩→失业率上升→居民收入下降

自2015年8月11日中国人民银行宣布完善中间价报价，再次推进人民币汇率形成机制改革以来，中国跨境资本流动的波动性明显上升，截至2016年12月底人民币中间价与8.11汇改时相比贬值了大约13%。受此影响，不考虑其他因素，可能出现（    ）

①人民币升值，进口增加

②人民币贬值，出口增加

③我国企业对外投资增加

④我国企业对外投资减少

阅读下面材料，在空白处填入适当的内容或括号内单词的正确形式。

    There are all kinds of festivals throughout the world. Festivals are held____ (satisfy) and please the ancestors, to honor some famous people or important____(event), and to express people's gratitude to the God for bringing them a year of plenty. For example, in India, October 2 is ____national festival to honor  Mahandas Gandhi, the leader____helped gain India's ____(depend) from Britain.____ (tradition), in China the Spring Festival, which ____(celebrate) in January or February, is the most ____(energy) and important because it is a festival that looks forward____the coming of spring. Why are all these festivals everywhere? Because during the festivals, people can get together to eat, drink and have fun with each other,____ (forget) all the daily struggle and demands for a while.